Atlast the current battle of FDI in retail come to an end (probably as of now) with
the voting in the two houses of Parliament, It may be advisable for
our politicians and bureaucrats to get down to some understanding of
what the retail business is all about — not only in India but globally
too. Problem is not with the FDI 100% but the real problem surrounds around the current economic situation of India in Perticuler and entire world economy in general. Perhaps the
irony would not be lost on either the UPA or the principal opposition
party that there are bigger and more critical issues that India should
be debating inside and outside Parliament. There are at least five very
fundamental issues currently engaging the attention of leading
multinational retailers as they grapple with low growth or even no
growth, and flat or declining profitability.
The first is changing trends,
Several trends are enabling the rise of a new class of retailing called
‘vertically-integrated e-tailing’. While these are early days for this
new breed of retailers that includes Bonobos, Shoedazzle and Stelladot,
their revenues are already in excess of $1 billion, and rising. This
trend, along with the ‘traditional’ e-tailers such as Amazon, can take
some more business away from general merchandise (non-food and non-FMCG) brick-and-mortar retailers, putting even more pressure on their revenue growth potential.
Second question is cross culture management:-question
mark now being raised in the boardrooms of some of the more
internationally-aggressive retailers about the viability of taking their
successful home-grown retail formats to new countries. After some
success achieved in the 1980s and 1990s by retailers such as Carrefour
in making their business truly global, the 2000s have been a mixed bag
of success for many. Even some of the most experienced and resourceful
retailers like Wal-Mart, Tesco, Carrefour Marks & Spencer, among
others, have found the going really tough in some foreign markets and,
often, as is the recent case with Tesco’s misfired foray in the US, led
to an expensive retreat with huge financial losses.
The
third big challenge is the potential disruption of relatively recently
established supply chains. Low-cost supplier countries such as China are
no longer so lowcost and the trends are that many such low-cost supply
bases are likely to see steadily rising cost of manufacturing.
High energy prices are also leading to increasing cost of shipping and
other logistics. With severe challenges in passing on these cost
increases to customers in the developed but economically-stagnant
markets, most retailers are engaged in the task of rejigging their
supply chains so as to maintain margins and profitability without losing
revenue.
The fourth — and somewhat related — challenge facing many large global retailers is enforcing a supply chain-wide compliance with ethics, workers’ rights and fair-trade practices without adding very significantly to the overall cost of sourcing. Recent disasters in factories in countries such as Bangladesh where lives of hundreds of workers at supplier factories were lost due to fires have only highlighted the slippage in enforcement of compliance by many of the leading global brands and suppliers to retailers in developed countries.
The fifth issue is to maintain differentiation from competitors. Almost all retail businesses now talk about improving customer experience, increased customer engagement, delivering more ‘value’, and offering more and better assortment. Most are becoming multi-channel using a combination of offline and online mediums to reach out to the consumer and micromanaging relationships with customers at an individual level thanks to rapid advances in technology and high penetration of smart phones.
With no immediate sign of a major revival in the economic conditions in major developed countries — the countries of origin of major internationalised retailers — only a few exceptions would have a real appetite to invest in new markets, no matter how much the relative consumption growth differential and retail growth potential may be. In India’s case, the challenges are even more intense, starting from the current multi-brand retail policy itself that has several highly-restrictive operational clauses, near non-availability of high-quality and rightlypriced real estate, the diversity of consumers and their shopping habits, the extremely fragmented and relatively inefficient domestic supply chain, onerous taxation regime that varies from state to state, and the long list of permissions and procedures retailers have to comply with for every new store.
It would be interesting to see, a year or more from now, if those billions of dollars from international retailers do actually find their way into India before we start worrying about their impact.
The fourth — and somewhat related — challenge facing many large global retailers is enforcing a supply chain-wide compliance with ethics, workers’ rights and fair-trade practices without adding very significantly to the overall cost of sourcing. Recent disasters in factories in countries such as Bangladesh where lives of hundreds of workers at supplier factories were lost due to fires have only highlighted the slippage in enforcement of compliance by many of the leading global brands and suppliers to retailers in developed countries.
The fifth issue is to maintain differentiation from competitors. Almost all retail businesses now talk about improving customer experience, increased customer engagement, delivering more ‘value’, and offering more and better assortment. Most are becoming multi-channel using a combination of offline and online mediums to reach out to the consumer and micromanaging relationships with customers at an individual level thanks to rapid advances in technology and high penetration of smart phones.
With no immediate sign of a major revival in the economic conditions in major developed countries — the countries of origin of major internationalised retailers — only a few exceptions would have a real appetite to invest in new markets, no matter how much the relative consumption growth differential and retail growth potential may be. In India’s case, the challenges are even more intense, starting from the current multi-brand retail policy itself that has several highly-restrictive operational clauses, near non-availability of high-quality and rightlypriced real estate, the diversity of consumers and their shopping habits, the extremely fragmented and relatively inefficient domestic supply chain, onerous taxation regime that varies from state to state, and the long list of permissions and procedures retailers have to comply with for every new store.
It would be interesting to see, a year or more from now, if those billions of dollars from international retailers do actually find their way into India before we start worrying about their impact.